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基于XGBoost模型的不同林龄高山松地上碳储量估测
Estimation of Aboveground Carbon Stock of Pinus densata at Different Stand Ages based on the XGBoost Model
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摘要: 以2021年Landsat遥感影像和同年样地数据为数据源,对香格里拉市高山松地上碳储量进行估测研究,基于最优模型反演估算高山松碳储量,并结合已获取的林龄数据分析不同林龄高山松地上碳密度与碳储量分布情况。结果表明:在构建的5个估测模型中,XGBoost模型的预测精度最高,其R2为0.91,RMSE为6.43 t/hm2,rRMSE为17.65%,Ppred为81.03%。基于最优模型估测反演高山松地上碳密度,得到香格里拉市高山松碳密度的最小值为9.63 t/hm2,最大值为89.26 t/hm2,总碳储量约为
7607333.96 t。相邻龄组级碳密度变化量显示,从幼龄林到中龄林碳密度增加最大,为3.11 t/hm2,此后增长量逐渐减小。香格里拉境内不同林龄碳密度和总碳储量随林龄增大持续增加,但碳密度增幅逐渐趋缓。Abstract: Based on Landsat remote sensing imagery and sample plot data from 2021, this study estimated the aboveground carbon stock of Pinus densata in Shangri-La City. The optimal model was used to estimate the aboveground carbon stock of Pinus densata, and the obtained stand age data were further used to analyze the distribution of aboveground carbon density and carbon stock across different stand age classes. The results show that: Among the five constructed estimation models , the XGBoost model has the highest prediction accuracy, with an R2 of 0.91, an RMSE of 6.43 t/hm2, an rRMSE of 17.65%, and a Ppred value of 81.03%. Based on the optimal model, the estimation and inversion of aboveground carbon density of Pinus densata were conducted, yielding a minimum value of 9.63 t/hm2, a maximum value of 89.26 t/hm2, and a total carbon stock of approximately7607333.96 t for Pinus densata in Shangri-La City. Analysis of the carbon density variation between adjacent age classes reveals that the most significant increase in carbon density occurs from young forests to middle-aged forests, reaching 3.11 t/hm2, with subsequent variations showing a gradual decline.Overall, both carbon density and total carbon stock of Pinus densata forests in Shangri-La City increased continuously with increasing forest age, whereas the rate of increase in carbon density gradually slowed.
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