Risk Assessment on Forest Fire Disaster from 1990 to 2009 in Fujian Province
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Abstract
The risk assessment of forest fire disaster in Fujian Province from 1990 to 2009 was implemented by means of disaster risk index method, analytic hierarchy process (AHP) method and the weighted comprehensive evaluation (WCE) method. The results showed that the probability of forest fire disaster risk in Fujian Province was stable and with slowly dropping tendency, while the potential loss index of forest fire significantly and steadily grew up with vibration. The forest fire disaster index showed overall increasing trend though it fluctuated violently in some individual years. The dominant factors which caused the forest fire disaster risk to increase ceaselessly were that the forest fire occurrence frequency, especially the severe forest fire occurrence frequency was increased significantly and the value per unit area of forest was promoted constantly.
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