刘荣熙, 窦邃. 云南省林业系统1985至2000年专门人才需求预测结果的验证[J]. 西南林业大学学报, 1985, 5(1): 157-161. DOI: 10.11929/j.issn.2095-1914.1985.01.020
引用本文: 刘荣熙, 窦邃. 云南省林业系统1985至2000年专门人才需求预测结果的验证[J]. 西南林业大学学报, 1985, 5(1): 157-161. DOI: 10.11929/j.issn.2095-1914.1985.01.020
Liu Rongxi, Dou Sui. Verification of the prediction methods of the demend for the qualified forestry personnel of Yunnan from 1985 to 2000[J]. Journal of Southwest Forestry University, 1985, 5(1): 157-161. DOI: 10.11929/j.issn.2095-1914.1985.01.020
Citation: Liu Rongxi, Dou Sui. Verification of the prediction methods of the demend for the qualified forestry personnel of Yunnan from 1985 to 2000[J]. Journal of Southwest Forestry University, 1985, 5(1): 157-161. DOI: 10.11929/j.issn.2095-1914.1985.01.020

云南省林业系统1985至2000年专门人才需求预测结果的验证

Verification of the prediction methods of the demend for the qualified forestry personnel of Yunnan from 1985 to 2000

  • 摘要: 本文采用了数理统计方法,通过回归,建立方程,从而求出预测数据。在确认这些预测值与实际观测值基本相符的条件下(即在估计误差范围内),再与模型预测值比较,从而得出验证的结论。

     

    Abstract: The predictions are to be made by applying the Total Labour productivity Model based on "Delphi" and "Standard Model Cover" methods.As for it's verification,it is expected that by using the means of mathematical statistics and regression method,a prediction equation can be formulated to obtain the predicting value.On the basis of affirming thes value be in good accordance with the observed data(i.e.within the range of the estimated prediction error),the predicted value can be compared with that obtained,from the original prediction model so as to draw the conclusions of verification.

     

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