柴守权, 许国莲, 邵登坤, 李任波, 卢南. 文山松毛虫危害程度与发生范围预测预报研究[J]. 西南林业大学学报, 2003, 23(1): 59-61,78. DOI: 10.11929/j.issn.2095-1914.2003.01.016
引用本文: 柴守权, 许国莲, 邵登坤, 李任波, 卢南. 文山松毛虫危害程度与发生范围预测预报研究[J]. 西南林业大学学报, 2003, 23(1): 59-61,78. DOI: 10.11929/j.issn.2095-1914.2003.01.016
CHAI Shou-quan, XU Guo-lian, SHAO Den-kun, XIE Kai-li, LU Nan. A Preliminary Study on the Forecast of Harm Extent and Occurrence Area of Dendrolimus punctatus wenshanensis[J]. Journal of Southwest Forestry University, 2003, 23(1): 59-61,78. DOI: 10.11929/j.issn.2095-1914.2003.01.016
Citation: CHAI Shou-quan, XU Guo-lian, SHAO Den-kun, XIE Kai-li, LU Nan. A Preliminary Study on the Forecast of Harm Extent and Occurrence Area of Dendrolimus punctatus wenshanensis[J]. Journal of Southwest Forestry University, 2003, 23(1): 59-61,78. DOI: 10.11929/j.issn.2095-1914.2003.01.016

文山松毛虫危害程度与发生范围预测预报研究

A Preliminary Study on the Forecast of Harm Extent and Occurrence Area of Dendrolimus punctatus wenshanensis

  • 摘要: 编制了文山松毛虫预测预报虫灾级数表,提出了文山松毛虫危害程度初步测报式。利用马尔可夫链模型分析法进行了文山松毛虫发生面积的预测预报,准确性较高。

     

    Abstract: The preliminary forcast formula of harm extent was developed on the basis of insect plague progression table of Dendrolimus punctatus wenshanensis,and the forecast of occurrence area was also obtained by Markov chain method with high accuracy.

     

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