甄学宁, 彭玉玲. MACD法和KDJ法预测森林可持续经营状态变化趋势[J]. 西南林业大学学报, 2003, 23(3): 24-27. DOI: 10.11929/j.issn.2095-1914.2003.03.007
引用本文: 甄学宁, 彭玉玲. MACD法和KDJ法预测森林可持续经营状态变化趋势[J]. 西南林业大学学报, 2003, 23(3): 24-27. DOI: 10.11929/j.issn.2095-1914.2003.03.007
ZHEN Xue-ning, PENG Yu-ling. Forecasting the Variation Tendency of Forestry Sustainable Management Status with MACD and KDJ Methods[J]. Journal of Southwest Forestry University, 2003, 23(3): 24-27. DOI: 10.11929/j.issn.2095-1914.2003.03.007
Citation: ZHEN Xue-ning, PENG Yu-ling. Forecasting the Variation Tendency of Forestry Sustainable Management Status with MACD and KDJ Methods[J]. Journal of Southwest Forestry University, 2003, 23(3): 24-27. DOI: 10.11929/j.issn.2095-1914.2003.03.007

MACD法和KDJ法预测森林可持续经营状态变化趋势

Forecasting the Variation Tendency of Forestry Sustainable Management Status with MACD and KDJ Methods

  • 摘要: 推进森林可持续经营,不仅要掌握其在某一时点的状态,还要掌握其状态变化趋势。在讨论森林可持续经营状态测度值构成的时间序列的动态性、波动性和节律性的基础上,探讨了用离差指标法(MACD法)和随机指标法(KDJ法)预测森林可持续经营状态变化趋势、变化方向、变化速度和变化转折点的可行性,讨论了相关的周期参数,并进行了应用研究分析。

     

    Abstract: For sustainable management of forest resources,not only the status of forest management must be judged at certain point of time,but also the variation tendency of the status must be well understood.The fluctuation,dynamic characteristics and seasonal rhythm of forest sustainable management status and its variation tendency are discussed.The variation direction,speed and turning point of forest sustainable management status are forecast with Moving Average Convergence and Divergence(MACD) and Stochastic(KDJ).Corresponding cycle parameters are discussed and its application feasibility is analyzed in the paper.

     

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