张博, 熊河先, 胥辉, 孙雪莲, 徐婷婷, 李超, 闾妍宇, 魏安超, 欧光龙. 思茅松天然林单木木材碳密度变化规律及预估模型研究[J]. 西南林业大学学报, 2017, 37(5): 165-173. DOI: 10.11929/j.issn.2095-1914.2017.05.025
引用本文: 张博, 熊河先, 胥辉, 孙雪莲, 徐婷婷, 李超, 闾妍宇, 魏安超, 欧光龙. 思茅松天然林单木木材碳密度变化规律及预估模型研究[J]. 西南林业大学学报, 2017, 37(5): 165-173. DOI: 10.11929/j.issn.2095-1914.2017.05.025
Bo Zhang, Hexian Xiong, Hui Xu, Xuelian Sun, Tingting Xu, Chao Li, Yanyu Lv, Anchao Wei, Guanglong Ou. Variation on Single Wood Carbon Density of Pinus kesiya var. langbianensis and its Estimation Models[J]. Journal of Southwest Forestry University, 2017, 37(5): 165-173. DOI: 10.11929/j.issn.2095-1914.2017.05.025
Citation: Bo Zhang, Hexian Xiong, Hui Xu, Xuelian Sun, Tingting Xu, Chao Li, Yanyu Lv, Anchao Wei, Guanglong Ou. Variation on Single Wood Carbon Density of Pinus kesiya var. langbianensis and its Estimation Models[J]. Journal of Southwest Forestry University, 2017, 37(5): 165-173. DOI: 10.11929/j.issn.2095-1914.2017.05.025

思茅松天然林单木木材碳密度变化规律及预估模型研究

Variation on Single Wood Carbon Density of Pinus kesiya var. langbianensis and its Estimation Models

  • 摘要: 在普洱市调查测定了8株思茅松标准样株单木的木材碳密度,分析不同林木间、不同高度及径向不同部位的差异;并采用混合效应模型技术,构建单木木材碳密度预测模型。结果表明:思茅松木材碳密度在不同林木间存在显著差异,且随树木高度增加而显著不同,由髓心向外存在极显著差异且呈现出先增加后持平或略有减小的规律性变化;相较于传统回归模型,混合效应模型均具有更低的AIC和BIC值;考虑林木和高度效应的二水平混合模型具有最小的AIC、BIC值和最大的logLik值;R2最大、RMSE最小的模型是三水平混合模型。各混合效应模型的预估精度均在95%以上,且综合考虑林木和径向部位随机效应的两水平混合效应模型的拟合精度达到96.1%,相较传统回归模型混合效应模型能够更好的描述并预估思茅松单木木材碳密度。

     

    Abstract: Measured 8 individual standard wood carbon density of Pinus kesiya var. langbianensis, the variation had been analyzed between difference individual, height percent and parts of disk. And the individual wood carbon density models had been constructed based on the mixed-effects models technology. Results showed that there were significant differences in wood carbon density between different individuals. There is significantly different (P < 0.001) with the parts, and the wood densities increase first, then flat or slightly decrease from pith to outer of disk. It was verified that the estimation performance of mixed-effects modelsare better than ordinary models because of lower AIC and BIC values. And there was the lowest AIC and BIC, and the highest Loglik value in the two-levels mixed model with random effects of individual tree and parts, and the highest R2 and RMSE in three-levels mixed models. The prediction precision of all mixed models were 95% above, and the two-levels model with random effects from individual tree and tree parts reached to 96.1%. So the mixed effects models had better performance than ordinary model for describing and predicting individual wood carbon density.

     

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