1980—2018年成都市建设用地扩张时空演变及驱动力分析

Spatial-temporal Evolution and Driving Forces of Construction Land Expansion in Chengdu from 1980 to 2018

  • 摘要: 基于土地利用栅格数据,借助建设用地扩张强度和速度指数、等扇形分析法、土地利用转移矩阵和PLUS模型等方法,探究了成都市1980—2018年城市建设用地扩张的变化特征以及驱动力。结果表明: 1980—2018年成都市建设用地面积持续增加,38年间共增加1.38 × 104 hm2,主要来源于耕地面积的减少。建设用地扩张方向性明显,呈现出向东南方倾斜的态势,且东部和南部地区在持续扩张。扩张强度呈从城市中心向外围区县地区逐渐减小的趋势,中心的主城区扩张强度最高;扩张速度最快的区域集中在东部和南部的双流、武侯和简阳等地,位于西侧的蒲江、邛崃和崇州等地扩张速度最慢。GDP、距政府驻地远近等社会经济因子和高程、年均温、水域等自然因子是影响城市建设用地扩张的主要驱动力因子,在水域、高程、年均温等自然因子的影响下,在GDP、距政府驻地远近及交通条件等社会经济因素的推动下,成都市建设用地面积不断扩张且方向性显著。

     

    Abstract: Based on land use grid data, the change characteristics and driving forces of urban construction land expansion in Chengdu from 1980−2018 were explored by means of urban expansion intensity and speed index, iso-fan analysis, land use transfer matrix and PLUS model. The results show that from 1980 − 2018, the area of construction land in Chengdu continued to increase, with a total increase of 1.38 × 104 hm2 in 38 years, mainly from the decrease of cultivated land area. The direction of construction land expansion is obvious, showing a trend of inclination to the southeast, and the eastern and southern regions continue to expand. The expansion intensity gradually decreased from the urban center to the peripheral districts and counties, and the expansion intensity was the highest in the central urban area. The fastest expanding regions are concentrated in the east and south of Shuangliu, Wuhou and Jianyang, and the slowest in the west of Pujiang, Qionglai and Chongzhou. Social and economic factors such as GDP and distance from government residence and natural factors such as elevation, annual average temperature and water area are the main driving factors affecting the expansion of urban construction land. Under the influence of natural factors such as water area, elevation and annual average temperature, and the promotion of social and economic factors such as GDP, distance from government residence and traffic conditions, the construction land area in Chengdu keeps expanding and has obvious direction.

     

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