1995—2019年香格里拉市高寒草甸景观格局和潜在生产力变化特征研究

Changes in Landscape Patterns and Potential Productivity of Alpine Meadows in Shangri-La from 1995 to 2019

  • 摘要: 基于Landsat冬季遥感影像,提取1995—2019年香格里拉市高寒草甸的空间分布范围并计算草甸景观格局指数、根据水热条件估算高寒草甸的潜在净初级生产力(NPP),分析上述指数的变化特征及其与气候和社会经济因素的关系。结果表明:1995—2019年香格里拉市气候呈暖干化趋势,社会经济指标快速发展。整体来看,香格里拉市高寒草甸面积从1995年1058.73 km2下降到2019年755.35 km2,草甸潜在NPP从96.1 × 104 t/a下降到58.7 × 104 t/a,这2个指标与区域平均气温、人口数量、第一产业GDP、第二产业GDP、第三产业GDP和大家畜存栏量呈负相关,与年降水量呈正相关;分区域来看,草甸面积和潜在NPP的变化过程具有明显的空间异质性,且这种异质性与气候暖干化的空间异质性高度重合。香格里拉市高寒草甸景观呈破碎化趋势,破碎化程度与气温和社会经济指标呈正相关,与降水量呈负相关。在气候暖干化和人为干扰强度增加的背景下,香格里拉市高寒草甸正在经历明显的退化过程。

     

    Abstract: In this study, the distribution of alpine meadows in Shangri-La from 1995 to 2019 was firstly extracted based on Landsat winter remote sensing images, then the landscape pattern indices of alpine meadows were calculated, and the potential net primary productivity(NPP) of alpine meadows was estimated based on annual temperature and precipitation conditions. Finally, the changes in these above indices and their relationships with climatic and socioeconomic factors were analyzed. The results showed that from 1995 to 2019, there was a trend of climatic warming and drying in Shangri-La. And the indices of socio-economic in this region developed rapidly. Overall, the area of alpine meadows in Shangri-La declined from 1058.73 km2 in 1995 to 755.35 km2 in 2019, and the potential NPP of alpine meadows declined from 96.1 × 104 t/a to 58.7 × 104 t/a. These 2 indicators were negatively correlated with annual temperature, population size, GDP of primary industry, GDP of secondary industry, GDP of tertiary industry, and the inventory of large livestock, while they were positively correlated with annual precipitation. Moreover, the changes in area and potential NPP of alpine meadows showed obvious spatial heterogeneity, and this heterogeneity was highly overlapped with the spatial heterogeneity of climatic warming and drying. And the landscapes of alpine meadows in Shangri-La showed a trend of fragmentation, and the degree of fragmentation was positively correlated with annual temperature and socio-economic indicators, but negatively correlated with annual precipitation. This study shows that the alpine meadows in Shangri-La are undergoing significant degradation under the background of climate warming and drying and the increased intensity of anthropogenic disturbances.

     

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