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基于生态风险评价的昆明市多层次生态安全格局构建

Construction of Multi-level Ecological Security Pattern in Kunming Based on Ecological Risk Assessment

  • 摘要: 利用2000年、2010年和2020年的土地利用/覆盖变化(LUCC)得出生态风险评价,运用MSPA模型与连通性重要指数(dPC)选取生态源地,选取七个阻力因子,通过MCR模型构建一般生态廊道与自然保护区生态廊道。结果表明:生态风险空间分布差异显著,2000—2020年,中低风险区面积增加3329.44 km2,面积占比从32.89%增至56.30%,低生态风险区呈持续减少,中、中高、高生态风险均呈先减后增趋势。通过dPC选取出23个一般生态源地,18个自然保护区生态源地,通过MCR模型构建52条一般生态廊道、33条自然保护区生态廊道。景观生态廊道集中于研究区的西南部、中部和北部,而东南因特殊的地理位置和城市发展造成廊道缺失,形成“一带二廊四区”的生态格局,研究结果反映了昆明市近20年生态风险演变。通过构建自然保护区与市域生态网络,可为昆明市生态控制区的划定、调整及生态建设提供参考。

     

    Abstract: The study utilized data on land use and coverage changes in the years 2000, 2010, and 2020 to perform an ecological risk assessment. The analysis involved the application of the MSPA model and the significant connectivity index(dPC) to pinpoint ecological origins. Seven resistance factors were selected, and through the MCR model, both overall ecological corridors and those specifically within natural reserves were delineated. The results show that: Between 2000 and 2020, there was a notable shift in the spatial distribution of ecological risks. The middle-low risk regions expanded by 3329.44 km2 during this period, leading to their proportion rising from 32.89% to 56.30%. In contrast, the low-risk areas saw a consistent decrease, while the medium, medium-high and high-risk zones displayed a trend of decreasing at first and then increasing.The dPC selected 23 general ecological sources and 18 nature reserves, while the MCR model constructed 52 general ecological corridors and 33 ecological corridors within nature reserves. The landscape ecological corridor is predominantly situated in the southwest, central, and northern regions of the study area, with the southeast corridor being absent due to unique geographical factors and urban development. This configuration results in an ecological pattern characterized by "one belt, two corridors, and four areas." These findings illustrate the ecological risk evolution in Kunming over the past two decades. The establishment of nature reserves and an urban ecological network can serve as a foundation for delineating, adjusting, and enhancing the ecological control area in Kunming.

     

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