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贵州月亮山自然保护区空间溢出效应及其影响因素研究
Exploring the Spatial Spillover Effect and Its Influencing Factors in Moon Mountain Nature Reserve, Guizhou, China
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摘要: 以贵州月亮山自然保护区为例,使用保护区及其周边15 km区域2000年、2010年与2020年3期土地利用数据,基于倾向得分匹配模型与InVEST模型,分析其生境质量变化,以评估月亮山自然保护区溢出效应。结果表明:近20 a来整个研究区土地类型转入与转出主要表现在农田和灌木,保护区内农田增11.94 km2,邻近区增加75.68 km2,但森林类型仍为主要地类。整个研究区的平均生境质量在近20 a显著下降,且生境质量变化率从保护区向外逐渐增大。月亮山自然保护区对于周边0~10 km地区的生境质量产生泄露效应(负影响),人口密度变化、GDP与高程对于保护区及周边地区生境质量的变化影响较大,说明人类活动可能加剧对保护区的压力。本研究对月亮山自然保护区的定期评估提供一定依据,有助于提升其管理和保护水平。Abstract: Using the Moon Mountain Nature Reserve in Guizhou as a case study, this research analyzes changes in habitat quality through the application of the propensity score matching model and the InVEST model. The analysis utilizes land use data from the reserve and its surrounding 15 km area for the years 2000, 2010, and 2020 to evaluate the spillover effects of the reserve. The findings indicate that land type transitions within the entire study area over the past two decades primarily involved farmland and shrubs. Specifically, farmland increased by 11.94 km² within the protected area, while adjacent regions saw an increase of 75.68 km²; nevertheless, forest remained the predominant land type. Moreover, the average habitat quality across the entire study area experienced a significant decline over the last two decades, with the rate of habitat quality change increasing from the reserve outward. The Moon Mountain Nature Reserve exhibited a leakage effect, negatively impacting the habitat quality in the surrounding 0-10 km area. Furthermore, variations in population density, GDP, and elevation were found to have a substantial influence on habitat quality changes both within and around the reserve, suggesting that human activities may intensify the pressures on the protected area. This study provides a foundation for periodic assessments of the Moon Mountain Nature Reserve and contributes to the enhancement of its management and conservation strategies