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张广才岭地区灌木生物量模型构建

Modelling of Shrub Biomass in Zhangguangcai Mountain

  • 摘要: 以黑龙江省张广才岭地区的16种典型灌木为研究对象,利用Pearson相关性分析筛选与生物量显著相关的影响因子,分别采用哑变量模型和混合效应模型建立林下灌木生物量预测模型。结果表明:混合效应模型在拟合效果和预测准确性方面均优于哑变量模型,可对灌木生物量实现更准确的估计;海拔与冠幅面积是影响灌木生物量的关键因子;尽管在分类变量较少的情况下通常认为哑变量模型更具优势,但本研究中混合效应模型表现更优。

     

    Abstract: Using 16 representative shrub species from the Zhangguangcai Mountain region of Heilongjiang Province, we applied Pearson correlation analysis to identify factors significantly associated with biomass, and subsequently developed predictive models using both dummy-variable and mixed-effects approaches. Our results show that the mixed-effects model consistently outperformed the dummy-variable model in both goodness of fit and predictive accuracy, enabling more precise estimation of shrub biomass. Elevation and crown area emerged as the key determinants of biomass variation. Although dummy-variable models are often regarded as advantageous when categorical predictors are limited, in this study the mixed-effects framework demonstrated superior performance.

     

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