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基于LandTrendr算法的森林干扰监测与地形调控效应分析

Forest Disturbance Monitoring and Terrain Control Effects Based on LandTrendr Algorithm

  • 摘要: 基于Google Earth Engine平台和LandTrendr时序分割算法,提出多维中位合成法提升时序连续性,构建了基于干扰持续期–恢复速率–轨迹形态的三级干扰类型判别体系,定量解析了地形因子的驱动机制。结果表明:1993—2024年滇东喀斯特山地森林干扰斑块空间范围提取的平均一致性达85.7%,干扰年份的提取精度高(R2=0.95,MAE=1.15 a)。滇东喀斯特山地的累计干扰面积为(872.7 ± 15.2) km2,2023年达历史峰值(228.7 km2),演化呈现波动下降(1993—2010年)、震荡上升(2011—2020年)和极端干扰(2021—2024年)3个阶段的特征。空间分布显著集聚于16001800 m中海拔带(58.6%)和坡度≤10°的区域(69.2%)。干扰类型以短期高强度人为干扰为主导(63.1%),其次为以人为火源为主的火灾干扰(27.0%)和干旱胁迫干扰(9.9%),地形可达性是关键调控因子。研究构建了适用于喀斯特复杂地形的森林干扰监测技术框架,揭示了滇东喀斯特山地森林干扰过程在时间动态、空间分布、类型构成及地形调控机制上的四维格局特征,为区域森林干扰风险精准识别、动态监测与适应性管理提供了技术支撑。

     

    Abstract: By integrating the Google Earth Engine (GEE) platform with the LandTrendr time-series segmentation algorithm, this study developed a multi-dimensional median synthesis method to enhance time-series continuity. A three-tiered disturbance type classification system based on disturbance duration, recovery rate, and trajectory morphology was constructed, and the driving mechanisms of terrain factors were quantitatively analyzed. Key results were: High temporal accuracy of disturbance year detection (R2 = 0.95, MAE = 1.15 years) and satisfactory spatial consistency of extracted disturbance patches (Mean Spatial Consistency, MSC = 85.7%). Cumulative disturbance area from 1993 to 2024 reached (872.7 ± 15.2) km2, peaking historically at 228.7 km2 in 2023. The evolution exhibited three distinct phases: fluctuating decline (1993–2010), oscillating rise (2011–2020), and extreme disturbance (2021–2024). (3) Spatially, disturbances were significantly concentrated in the mid-altitude zone (16001800 m; 58.6%) and gentle slopes (≤10°; 69.2%). (4) Anthropogenic disturbance dominated (63.1%), followed by fire disturbance (27.0%, primarily human-ignited) and drought stress disturbance (9.9%), with terrain accessibility identified as the key regulatory factor. This study establishes a forest disturbance monitoring framework suitable for complex karst terrain, revealing a four-dimensional pattern encompassing temporal dynamics, spatial distribution, type composition, and terrain regulation mechanisms. It provides a technical foundation for precise identification of regional forest disturbance risks, dynamic monitoring, and adaptive management.

     

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