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大渡河流域生态脆弱性时空演变分析
Spatial-temporal evolution of ecological vulnerability in Dadu River Basin
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摘要: 通过生态敏感性-生态恢复力-生态压力度模型(SRP)选取14个评价指标,采用层次分析法构建大渡河流域生态脆弱性评价体系。结果表明:大渡河流域生态脆弱性由高到低依次为极度脆弱、重度脆弱、中度脆弱、轻度脆弱和微度脆弱。流域北部和中部多为极度和重度脆弱地区,生态脆弱性指数随着海拔下降呈递减趋势。时空转换上,20年间微度脆弱地区减少了
2033 km²,占整个流域面积的2.74%;极度脆弱地区增加了2649 km²,增加面积占比为3.41%。从因子探测上看,生态脆弱性解释力最强的因子是GDP、人口、年日照数、土壤粘性和年平均相对湿度。从交互探测上看,因子之间都存在有较强的交互作用,生态脆弱性是各因素综合作用的结果。从成因上看,极度和重度脆弱地区多位于高原和山地,气候和地形成为其生态脆弱的重要原因。人类经济活动与脆弱性程度有密切关系。Abstract:Objective The Dadu River Basin is an important ecological barrier between the upper reaches of the Yangtze River and the eastern foothill of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau. It is of great theoretical and practical significance to study regional ecological vulnerability for environmental protection in the river basin.Methods This paper selected 14 evaluation indexes by SRP model and constructed the Dadu River basin ecological vulnerability assessment system by AHP.Results ① The classification of ecological vulnerability from high to low is extremely severe fragility (EVI≥0.50), severe fragility (0.46≤EVI < 0.50), moderate fragility (0.42≤EVI < 0.46), mild fragility (0.38≤EVI < 0.42), and slight fragility (EVI < 0.38). (2) The northern and central parts of the basin are mostly extremely severe fragility and severely fragility areas, and the ecological vulnerability index decreases with altitude. (3) In terms of spatial-temporal transformation, the area of slight vulnerability decreased by2033 km², which accounted for 2.74% of the total watershed area. Extremely severe fragility areas increased by 2,649 km², or 3.41 percent. (4)From the perspective of factor detection, the factors with the strongest explanatory power for ecological vulnerability are GDP, population, annual sunshine, soil viscosity and annual average relative humidity. In terms of interactive detection, there is a strong interaction among all factors, and ecological vulnerability is the result of the comprehensive effect of all factors. (5) From the perspective of origin, the extremely severe fragility and severe fragility areas are mostly located in the plateau and mountain, and climate and topography are the important reasons for their ecological fragility. Human economic activities are closely related to the degree of vulnerability.