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2003—2023年安庆市生态系统服务价值评估及其驱动机制研究
Research on the Assessment of Ecosystem Service Value and Driving Forces in Anqing City from 2003 to 2023
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摘要: 采用当量因子法对2003年、2013年、2023年的生态系统服务价值(ESV)进行量化评估,结合空间自相关分析、冷热点和多尺度地理加权回归(MGWR)等方法系统解析其时空演变特征及驱动机制。结果表明:研究期内安庆市ESV总量从2003年的
2003874.25 元增长至2023年的2102630.71 元,其中水域对ESV贡献率最高(65%~66%),未利用地贡献率最低(不足1%)。ESV空间分异显著,单位面积ESV高值区稳定分布于西部和南部,低值区集中于东部和北部。不同影响因素对于安庆市ESV的影响呈现出明显的空间异质性。研究揭示了自然约束与人类活动的交互作用对ESV分异的主导性,为安庆市生态空间优化与可持续发展提供了科学依据。Abstract: The equivalent factor method was employed to quantitatively evaluate the Ecosystem Service Value (ESV) of Anqing City in 2003, 2013, and 2023. Combined with spatial autocorrelation analysis, cold-hot spot analysis, and Multiscale Geographically Weighted Regression (MGWR), the spatiotemporal evolution characteristics and driving mechanisms were systematically analyzed. Results showed that Anqing's total ESV increased from 2003874.25 yuan in 2003 to 2102630.71 yuan in 2023. Water areas contributed the most (65%−66%), while unused land contributed the least (less than 1%). ESV showed significant spatial differentiation, with high-value areas per unit area stably in the west and south, and low-value areas in the east and north. Influencing factors exhibited obvious spatial heterogeneity in their impacts. The study reveals that the interaction between natural constraints and human activities dominates ESV differentiation, providing a scientific basis for ecological space optimization and sustainable development in Anqing.
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